June 2014

Eunomia Issues Latest Residual Waste Capacity Projections


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The Sixth Issue of Eunomia’s Residual Waste Infrastructure Review, published today, shows that 5.7 million tpa of residual treatment capacity is currently under construction. When this has become operational by 2017, total treatment capacity will have grown by more than 130% since 2009, from 7 million tpa to 17 million tpa.

There is also currently 20.8 million tpa of waste treatment capacity with planning permission, and planning consent is being sought for a further 4.1 million tpa of waste treatment capacity. Our modelling suggests, however, that even if no further facilities reach financial close, with committed capacity alone, the UK would still reach a situation of overcapacity of around 0.5 million tonnes in 2018/19.

Adam Baddeley, the report’s lead author said:

“This latest Review demonstrates the speed at which residual treatment capacity continues to grow. In those regions where overcapacity is already becoming an issue, we would expect to see operators charging low gate fees at their facilities to attract waste from further afield. Operators cannot ignore the interactions between supply and demand.”


The report draws upon data from local authorities’ annual WasteDataFlow returns, Defra’s latest C&I data and Eunomia’s in-house Facilities Database, which holds information on all residual treatment facilities in the UK (both operating and under development). Data is analysed on both a national and regional basis, to provide a detailed picture of where insufficient or excess capacity is anticipated.